CONSULT—Research and consulting company
Methodological foundation
A fixed classifier. Results that remain comparable.
PsychoProfiling™: the frozen deterministic classifier
The classifier was calibrated on ten nationally representative Bulgarian surveys conducted between 2016 and 2026 (n ≈ 10,900 respondents). Cross-national validation (January 2026, online panels in Bulgaria, Greece and North Macedonia, n = 1,774) showed a structural correlation between profile signatures across the three countries of r > 0.99. A hold-out validation applied the 2026 classifier to a Bulgarian face-to-face sample from 2018 (n = 1,015) that was excluded from the calibration corpus. It shows a deviation of 2.2 to 5.3 percentage points from the empirical benchmark across an eight-year interval.
The technical principle of the frozen classifier is established in science. In microbiology it was applied by France et al. (2020) in VALENCIA, a nearest-centroid classifier for vaginal microbial communities published in Microbiome (BMC/Springer Nature). The authors describe exactly the same problem with k-means that we address: dependence on the specific sample and inability to compare directly across studies. In psychographic segmentation, PsychoProfiling™ applies the principle for the first time with a published mathematical specification and international academic validation.
France et al. (2020), Microbiome 8:166 →IDEO5: ideological-value orientation
The frozen classifier is a methodological approach, not a single instrument. IDEO5 demonstrates its applicability in a different domain: the ideological-value orientation of the Bulgarian adult population, defined not by political axes but by the way people accept or reject different types of public policies.
Calibrated on three nationally representative samples (2015, 2018, 2026, total N ≈ 3,047), IDEO5 identifies five groups: Universalists (~33%), Solidarists (~27%), Individualists (~23%), Statists (~11%) and Disengaged (~5%). The classification is multidimensional. The two principal axes (social solidarity and economic liberalism) are not in opposition but are independent dimensions. Combined with psychographic profiles, it yields a multi-layered picture of electoral behaviour not achievable through standard left-right analysis.